QUARTERLY LABOUR FORCE SURVEY: Quarter 1(January to March), 2014

Stats SA today released the Q1:2014 results which show a quarterly decline in employment by 122 000 due to a loss of 110 000 jobs in the informal sector.

Formal sector employment was virtually unchanged at 10,8 million compared with the previous quarter, while both Private households and Agriculture shed jobs (14 000 and 5 000 respectively).

The decrease in employment over the period Q4:2013 and Q1:2014, was accompanied by an increase in unemployment (up 237 000) resulting in a 1,1 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate to 25,2%.

Over the same period, the absorption rate decreased by 0,5 of a percentage point to 42,8% and the number of discouraged work-seekers increased by 154 000.

Table A: Key labour market indicators

 

Jan-Mar 2013

Oct-Dec 2013

Jan-Mar 2014

Qtr-to-qtr change

Yr-on-yr change

Qtr-to-qtr change

Yr-on-yr change

Thousand

Per cent

 Population aged 15–64 yrs

34 558

35 022

35 177

155

619

0,4

1,8

 Labour force

19 420

20 007

20 122

115

701

0,6

3,6

 Employed

14 558

15 177

15 055

-122

496

-0,8

3,4

Formal sector (non-agricultural)

10 242

10 773

10 780

7

538

0,1

5,3

Informal sector (non-agricultural)

2 334

2 446

2 336

-110

2

-4,5

0,1

Agriculture

 764

 713

 709

-5

-55

-0,7

-7,2

Private households

1 219

1 244

1 231

-14

12

-1,1

0,9

 Unemployed

4 862

4 830

5 067

237

205

4,9

4,2

 Not economically active

15 138

15 015

15 055

40

-83

0,3

-0,5

Discouraged job-seekers

2 401

2 200

2 355

154

-46

7,0

-1,9

Other (not economically active)

12 737

12 815

12 700

-114

-37

-0,9

-0,3

Rates (%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unemployment rate

25,0

24,1

25,2

1,1

0,2

Employment/population ratio

(absorption rate)

42,1

43,3

42,8

-0,5

0,7

Labour force participation rate

56,2

57,1

57,2

0,1

1,0

 

Year-on-year figures show that both employment and unemployment rose – by 496 000 and 205 000 respectively. As a result, the unemployment rate increased by 0,2 of a percentage point, while the absorption rate and labour force participation rate increased by 0,7 and 1,0 percentage points respectively.

Figure 1: Employment by Industry

emp

 

The contraction in employment between Q4:2013 and Q1:2014 was driven mainly by a decrease in employment in Transport, storage and communication (66 000), Community and social services (42 000) and Trade (38 000) industries.

Although employment decreased quarter-to-quarter, it increased by 496 000 compared to the same period last year. The industries that contributed most to the year-on-year increase were: Trade (154 000), Community and social services (132 000), Finance and other business services (130 000) and Construction (116 000).

Figure 2: Employment levels and absorption rates

emp2

Employment has recovered to levels observed before the recession. However, in Q1: 2014, the proportion of those employed among the working age population at 42,8% is still lower than before the recession occurred (46,2% in Q4: 2008).

Youth continue to be vulnerable in the labour market. Although their level of educational attainment has improved over the period 2008 to 2014, their labour market situation deteriorated markedly during the recession. In Q1: 2014, the unemployment rate among young people aged 15-34 years was 36,1% which is 3,4 percentage points higher than in Q1: 2008. Young people who are employed are more likely to be employed in precarious conditions; for example 20,7% of employed youth are on contracts of a limited duration compared to 10,8% of employed adults.

For media enquiries contact:

Ms Kefiloe Masiteng

Deputy Director General: Population and Social Statistics, on (012) 310 2109

For technical enquiries contact:

Mr Peter Buwembo

Executive Manager: Labour Statistics, on (012) 310 8655