Inflation cools to 6,9%

Annual consumer inflation slowed for the third consecutive month, decreasing to 6,9% in January from 7,2% in December. A notable fall in the price of fuel was the biggest factor behind the dip in the headline rate. Food inflation, on the other hand, continues to accelerate.

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The consumer price index (CPI) declined by 0,1% between December and January.

Fuel prices continue to ease

The fuel price index declined by 10,5% between December and January, dragging its annual rate down to 13,1% from 22,8% in December. A litre of 95-octane petrol (inland) cost R21,40 in January, down from R23,46 recorded the month before.1

The price of petrol is now roughly at a level last seen in March 2022 (R21,60).

Food inflation continues to quicken

Food and non-alcoholic beverages (NAB) inflation continued to accelerate. The annual rate climbed to 13,4% in January, the highest reading since April 2009 when the rate was 13,6%.

Of all the product groups in the CPI basket, bread & cereals recorded the highest rate in January (21,8%). This was up from 20,6% in December and is the highest reading for this category since February 2009 (23,8%).

Bread & cereal products that recorded notable monthly increases in January include pastry products (pizzas and pies), which increased by 3,6%, maize (up 3,1%), and brown bread (up 1,3%).

Meat inflation increased to 11,2% in January from December’s 9,7%. Individually quick frozen (IQF) chicken portions, the highest weighted meat product, witnessed a monthly price increase of 2,7% between December and January. Other meat products that recorded significant monthly price increases include fresh chicken portions (up 5,3%), beef offal (up 5,2%), and stewing beef (up 3,6%). Bacon recorded an annual rate of 19,4%.

Annual fish inflation quickened to 13,0% from 10,4% in December. This is the highest annual inflation rate for fish since May 2009 when it was 14,2%.

The charts below show the products that recorded the largest percentage price increases in January. Five of the 10 largest monthly changes were vegetables, which as a group had the highest monthly change (5,1%) within food in January.

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For more information, download the January 2023 CPI statistical release here.

1 Department of Mineral Resources and Energy. Petrol price archive (click here).

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