Category Archives: Inflation

Inflation falls to a three-month low

Inflation falls to a three-month low

South Africa’s annual inflation rate was 3,0% in September, lower than the rates recorded in July (3,2%) and August (3,1%). The change in the consumer price index between August 2020 and September 2020 was 0,2%, identical to the reading in the previous month. The alcoholic beverages and tobacco division was the main reason for the   read more »


Consumer inflation slightly down in August

Consumer inflation slightly down in August

Annual CPI inflation pulled back slightly in August, easing to 3,1% from 3,2% in July. The monthly increase in prices was 0,2%. This is slightly lower than the average monthly change of 0,3% over the past year and lower than the 3-month average of 0,4%. Transport was the most significant contributor to the 0,2% monthly   read more »


Consumer inflation rises to four-month high

Consumer inflation rises to four-month high

Annual CPI inflation quickened to 3,2% in July from 2,2% in June as lockdown restrictions continued to ease. The monthly increase was 1,3%, the biggest monthly rise since February 2016 when the rate was 1,4%. The monthly move in July was driven largely by fuel prices and municipal tariffs. Motorists felt some pain as the   read more »


Update on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July

Stats SA will publish the July CPI on Wednesday, 26 August. The collection and compilation of the CPI for July was affected by COVID-19 lockdown restrictions. Read here for more information.


Baking bad during lockdown

Baking bad during lockdown

You’ve waited too long. Your friends have tried it, you’ve seen the videos, you’re feeling the FOMO. You roll up your sleeves – it is time to bake your own lockdown bread. The kitchen is ready. The ingredients are all set out. Two cups of boiling water – check! Instant yeast, brown sugar, salt, flour   read more »


Inflation rate edges up in June

Inflation rate edges up in June

Annual CPI inflation was 2,2% in June, slightly up from 2,1% in May. The monthly increase was 0,5% – a reversal of the -0,6% recorded between April and May. The dominance of fuel price changes recorded in the previous few months continued in June. Fuel prices increased by 7,5% from May to June, with petrol   read more »


The June CPI will use special imputation methods

The June CPI will use special imputation methods to account for the shift from Level 4 to Level 3 lockdown restrictions on consumer spending. Stats SA has published a note to explain the circumstances in which different methods will employed. An updated publication schedule for the remainder of 2020 is included in the note. During August   read more »


CPI inflation slows to 2,1% in May

CPI inflation slows to 2,1% in May

Annual consumer price inflation fell to its lowest reading since September 2004, dragged lower mainly by falling fuel prices. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures the prices of a range of consumer goods and services, increased by 2,1% in May 2020 compared with May 2019. The reading for September 2004, 15 years and eight   read more »


Update on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May

The May CPI will be published on Wednesday, 15 July. At the heart of measuring inflation is the comparison of prices of a fixed set of products in two periods. The COVID-19 lockdown restrictions and gradual normalisation have posed particular challenges for the calculation of the consumer price index. Special imputation methods were used in   read more »


Inflation the lowest in almost 15 years

Inflation the lowest in almost 15 years

Annual CPI inflation for April reflects the impact of the first month of the COVID-19 lockdown. The rate dropped to 3,0% in April from 4,1% in March, the lowest reading since June 2005 when the rate was 2,8%. Consumer inflation is now at the bottom of the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) target range of   read more »