Key findings: 03-09-16 - Estimating the completeness of adult death reporting in South Africa, 2011-2016, 2016

In using the Generalized Growth Balance (GGB) method and controlling for errors, results of completeness of adult death reporting among the male population show that provinces such as Northern Cape (91%), Gauteng (85%), closely followed by Western Cape (82%) recorded the highest levels of completeness. Provinces such as Eastern Cape (51%) and Mpumalanga (53%) reported the least in the inter-censal period. Presenting almost the same level, the same provinces reported the highest levels of completeness among females, with provinces such as Mpumalanga, Limpopo and Eastern Cape reporting the least. With slight difference in the levels of completeness, the study also revealed that patterns reported using the GGB method were similar with those reported using the Synthetic Extinct Generations (SEG) method.

The results using the GGB method among men show that the white male population (75%) reported the highest completeness levels, while at 60% Indians/Asian male population reported the least. The levels by female population show that the white population (85%) reported the highest completeness levels of adult death reporting, while at 66% black African population reported the least. At the national level, the GGB method reported the same percentage at 96% for both sexes. The result suggests consistency with that of Stats SA (2021). Overall, findings from the study revealed that the completeness of adult death reporting is high and improving in South Africa.